{"id":17008,"date":"2026-04-27T03:09:04","date_gmt":"2026-04-26T22:09:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mbt.mv\/?p=17008"},"modified":"2026-04-27T03:09:04","modified_gmt":"2026-04-26T22:09:04","slug":"wmo-warns-of-rising-likelihood-of-el-nino-in-2026-raising-global-climate-concerns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mbt.mv\/?p=17008","title":{"rendered":"WMO Warns of Rising Likelihood of El Ni\u00f1o in 2026, Raising Global Climate Concerns"},"content":{"rendered":"<section class=\"text-token-text-primary w-full focus:outline-none [--shadow-height:45px] has-data-writing-block:pointer-events-none has-data-writing-block:-mt-(--shadow-height) has-data-writing-block:pt-(--shadow-height) [&amp;:has([data-writing-block])&gt;*]:pointer-events-auto [content-visibility:auto] supports-[content-visibility:auto]:[contain-intrinsic-size:auto_100lvh] R6Vx5W_threadScrollVars scroll-mb-[calc(var(--scroll-root-safe-area-inset-bottom,0px)+var(--thread-response-height))] scroll-mt-[calc(var(--header-height)+min(200px,max(70px,20svh)))]\" dir=\"auto\" data-turn-id=\"request-WEB:732bc271-8060-49d4-bc9d-32f88697370c-2\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-4\" data-scroll-anchor=\"false\" data-turn=\"assistant\">\n<div class=\"text-base my-auto mx-auto pb-10 [--thread-content-margin:var(--thread-content-margin-xs,calc(var(--spacing)*4))] @w-sm\/main:[--thread-content-margin:var(--thread-content-margin-sm,calc(var(--spacing)*6))] @w-lg\/main:[--thread-content-margin:var(--thread-content-margin-lg,calc(var(--spacing)*16))] px-(--thread-content-margin)\">\n<div class=\"[--thread-content-max-width:40rem] @w-lg\/main:[--thread-content-max-width:48rem] mx-auto max-w-(--thread-content-max-width) flex-1 group\/turn-messages focus-visible:outline-hidden relative flex w-full min-w-0 flex-col agent-turn\">\n<div class=\"flex max-w-full flex-col gap-4 grow\">\n<div class=\"min-h-8 text-message relative flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 text-start break-words whitespace-normal outline-none keyboard-focused:focus-ring [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-1\" dir=\"auto\" tabindex=\"0\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"8d410b53-7277-4311-accc-6955245d78ec\" data-message-model-slug=\"gpt-5-3\" data-turn-start-message=\"true\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose dark:prose-invert w-full wrap-break-word light markdown-new-styling\">\n<p data-start=\"88\" data-end=\"314\"><em data-start=\"88\" data-end=\"108\">Geneva, April 2026<\/em> \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/wmo.int\/media\/news\/wmo-likelihood-increases-of-el-nino\">The <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">World Meteorological Organization<\/span><\/span> <\/a>(WMO) has reported an increased probability that an El Ni\u00f1o event will develop by mid-2026, signaling potential disruptions to weather patterns across the globe.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"316\" data-end=\"654\">In its latest climate update, the agency highlighted growing evidence from ocean observations and climate models pointing toward a shift away from neutral conditions in the tropical Pacific. Scientists say warming sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean are consistent with the early stages of El Ni\u00f1o formation.<\/p>\n<h3 data-section-id=\"hbq3by\" data-start=\"656\" data-end=\"690\">Strengthening Forecast Signals<\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"692\" data-end=\"1026\">According to the WMO, multiple forecasting models are now in agreement, indicating a high likelihood that El Ni\u00f1o conditions will emerge between May and July. While forecasts made early in the year can be affected by the so-called \u201cspring predictability barrier,\u201d the consistency across models has increased confidence in the outlook.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1028\" data-end=\"1185\">If current trends continue, the phenomenon could strengthen in the latter half of the year, potentially influencing global temperatures and weather extremes.<\/p>\n<h3 data-section-id=\"1vy8zo2\" data-start=\"1187\" data-end=\"1212\">Understanding El Ni\u00f1o<\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1214\" data-end=\"1497\">El Ni\u00f1o is part of the <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">El Ni\u00f1o\u2013Southern Oscillation<\/span><\/span> (ENSO), a naturally occurring cycle that affects atmospheric circulation and ocean temperatures. During an El Ni\u00f1o phase, warmer-than-average waters in the Pacific Ocean can alter jet streams and weather systems worldwide.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1499\" data-end=\"1631\">These shifts often lead to significant climate impacts, including heavier rainfall in some regions and prolonged droughts in others.<\/p>\n<h3 data-section-id=\"ru4soc\" data-start=\"1633\" data-end=\"1661\">Potential Global Impacts<\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1663\" data-end=\"2025\">The development of El Ni\u00f1o in 2026 could bring wetter conditions to parts of the Americas and East Africa, while increasing the risk of drought in regions such as Australia, Indonesia, and parts of South Asia. The event is also typically associated with a temporary rise in global average temperatures, which could compound the effects of ongoing climate change.<\/p>\n<h3 data-section-id=\"12wu5f5\" data-start=\"2027\" data-end=\"2055\">Emphasis on Preparedness<\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2057\" data-end=\"2356\">The WMO has urged governments and relevant agencies to prepare for possible climate disruptions, particularly in vulnerable regions where agriculture and water resources are sensitive to weather variability. Strengthening early warning systems and improving climate resilience remain key priorities.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2358\" data-end=\"2520\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">As the situation evolves, scientists will continue to monitor ocean and atmospheric conditions closely, with more precise forecasts expected in the coming months.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"z-0 flex min-h-[46px] justify-start\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"mt-3 w-full empty:hidden\">\n<div class=\"text-center\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"pointer-events-none -mt-px h-px translate-y-[calc(var(--scroll-root-safe-area-inset-bottom)-14*var(--spacing))]\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Geneva, April 2026 \u2014 The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has reported an increased probability that an El Ni\u00f1o event will develop by mid-2026, signaling potential disruptions to weather patterns across the globe. In its latest climate update, the agency highlighted growing evidence from ocean observations and climate models pointing toward a shift away from neutral<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":17010,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3329,2975,2507,2465],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-17008","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-environment","8":"category-health","9":"category-top-stories-featured-area","10":"category-world-news"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>WMO Warns of Rising Likelihood of El Ni\u00f1o in 2026, Raising Global Climate Concerns - Maldives Business Times<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/mbt.mv\/?p=17008\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"WMO Warns of Rising Likelihood of El Ni\u00f1o in 2026, Raising Global Climate Concerns - Maldives Business Times\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Geneva, April 2026 \u2014 The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has reported an increased probability that an El Ni\u00f1o event will develop by mid-2026, signaling potential disruptions to weather patterns across the globe. 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